星期三, 12月 15, 2010

主辦世盃俄基金值得持有

俄羅斯繼2007年成功取得2014年索契冬季奧運主辦權、今年10月又取得2014至2020年一級方程式格蘭披治大賽主辦權後,日前又擊敗英格蘭等強敵,奪得2018年世界盃的主辦權。俄羅斯總理普京承諾,俄羅斯將舉辦一屆史無前例的高水平世界盃。所有參加世界盃賽的人都將獲得免簽證待遇,所有持有世界盃比賽門票的球迷前往不同城市看球之所有交通費將由俄羅斯政府承擔。東驥研究部認為,俄國在未來八年將舉辦三項重要的體壇盛事,當地企業的投資意慾將大大提高,加上基建的進一步完善,為經濟發展提供強大的推動力,故此俄羅斯股票基金值得長期持有。 ■東驥基金管理


俄羅斯世界盃將在13個城市舉辦,除莫斯科外,還有聖彼得堡、加里寧格勒、喀山、葉卡捷琳堡等地,現成可用的只有3個體育場,另外13個還在設計中,場館建設預計將花費38.2億美元,再加上機場、道路、場館、酒店等基建,總費用將介乎100億美元至500億美元。在各項工程完成後,俄國的基建質量應會大為提升,為未來經濟發展打下堅實基礎。

刺激俄企業投資意慾

面對世界盃的龐大預算,俄羅斯打算吸引民間投資以減少政府開支。事實上,由於俄羅斯企業對經濟前景仍抱觀望態度,近年對國內投資顯得興致缺乏,縱使政府不斷降低對實體經濟發放貸款的利率亦無補於事。不過,在奪得世界盃的主辦權後,國內投資的機會增加,加上世界盃同時亦為面子工程,相信在現任總理、未來極有可能再當選總統的普京要求下,各企業會慷慨解囊,把握當中的投資機遇。

股市年底上試1850點

俄羅斯股市近日走勢強勁,雖然外圍市況仍然反覆,但俄股卻節節上升,並升破1,700點的水平,創金融海嘯新高。事實上,除了受到成功申辦世界盃的消息所刺激外,油價上升及當地股市估值偏低亦支持當地股市升勢,故東驥研究部認為當地股市可以繼續看好,年底前上試1,850點的機會甚高。另一方面,由於現任總理普京於2012年再度當選總統的機會甚高,相信以他的能力及個人魅力,屆時必然可將有關活動的經濟效益最大化,故當地基金值得長期持有。

俄基金今年回報2成

根據理柏的分類,坊間現時有7隻俄羅斯股票基金可供選擇,而有關基金今年亦表現不俗,大部分基金均錄得逾20%的升幅。總括各分段表現,法巴俄羅斯股票基金明顯較其他俄羅斯股票基金為佳,而且其波幅亦較同儕為低,一年波幅只有25.9%,證明該基金能夠為投資者帶來高回報之餘,價格又不會太波動。不過,若投資者希望享受俄羅斯股市的升勢,同時亦想分散單一市場風險,則可考慮新興歐洲基金。在新興歐洲基金的投資組合中,普遍會持有60%以上的俄羅斯股票,故此若俄羅斯股市造好,基金表現亦會十分理想。



Source: Lipper

星期一, 12月 06, 2010

俄羅斯-2018世界杯決賽週

Key highlights are:


-The Russian victory gives Prime Minister Vladimir Putin his third success in attracting global sports events to boost the economy and rebuild the country’s image as an athletic superpower.

-Russia’s bid includes construction of 13 stadiums and renovation of three more at a projected cost of $3.8 billion and an operating budget of $641 million for 2017-2018. Russia committed to make “major upgrades and capacity increases” at most airports serving the 13 proposed host cities.

-Investment Strategist believes Russia’s victory will have “an immediate positive reaction in stocks such as steel and others that would benefit from an expected rise in infrastructure spending.

-Carlsberg A/S, the biggest brewer in Russia, rose 3.5 percent after the eastern European country won the bid to host the 2018 soccer World Cup.
 
Russia, Qatar to Host World Cups as Emerging Markets Win Vote


By Anastasia Ustinova and Robert Tuttle - Dec 3, 2010 12:32 AM GMT+0800

Russia and Qatar won rights to host World Cups in 2018 and 2022 as soccer’s governing body voted to hold the events in emerging markets.

FIFA awarded the tournaments today after a secret vote at its headquarters in Zurich. Russia beat England and joint bids from Portugal-Spain and the Netherlands-Belgium for 2018, while the Qataris defeated the U.S., Japan, South Korea and Australia for the event four years later.

The decision means that FIFA will hold the world’s most- watched sporting event in developing nations four times in a row. South Africa held the World Cup this year, and Brazil is preparing for the 2014 tournament. The next two events will be held in Eastern Europe and the Middle East for the first time. Russia had to overcome concerns about its size and ability to build stadiums, while the Qatar bid, the only one with a “high risk” rating from FIFA, will air-condition stadiums to deal with temperatures of 46 degrees centigrade (115 degrees Fahrenheit).

“Thank you for believing in change, thank you for expanding the game and thank you for giving Qatar a chance,” the country’s bid chairman, Sheikh Mohammed bin Hamad Al-Thani, said after the victory. “We will not let you down.”

The Russian victory gives Prime Minister Vladimir Putin his third success in attracting global sports events to boost the economy and rebuild the country’s image as an athletic superpower.

Putin didn’t attend the ceremony, though his spokesman, Dmitry Peskov, said earlier today that the prime minister would fly to Zurich if Russia’s bid was successful, RIA Novosti reported. First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov headed the Russian delegation.

Making History

“You have entrusted us with the FIFA World Cup for 2018 and I can promise, we all can promise, you will never regret it,” Shuvalov said today to FIFA delegates. “Let us make history together.”

Putin’s drive to bring the World Cup to Russia came after he delivered the 2014 Winter Olympics and a Formula 1 Grand Prix car race starting in 2014, both to be held in the Black Sea resort of Sochi.

Hosting the tournament is worth about $5 billion, according to U.S. estimates. For Russia, FIFA’s decision may speed infrastructure development and boost shares of airlines and steelmakers, though it could cost “tens of billions” of dollars to pull off, analysts said.

‘Major Upgrades’

Russia’s bid includes construction of 13 stadiums and renovation of three more at a projected cost of $3.8 billion and an operating budget of $641 million for 2017-2018. Russia committed to make “major upgrades and capacity increases” at most airports serving the 13 proposed host cities.

FIFA assessed Russia’s ability to provide requisite airports and international connections as a “high risk” in its bid evaluation report. All aspects of England’s bid were rated as “low” or “medium” risks.

Russia’s victory will have “an immediate positive reaction in stocks such as steel and others that would benefit from an expected rise in infrastructure spending,” Chris Weafer, chief strategist at Moscow-based UralSib Financial Corp., wrote in a note to investors before today’s announcement.

Weafer said earlier this week that OAO Aeroflot, Russia’s largest airline, media companies and banks “as a Russia proxy” may also benefit.

Qatari Success

Qatar, projected by the International Monetary Fund to have the world’s fastest-growing economy this year, plans to more than double the number of hotel rooms, build nine stadiums and refurbish three others and construct a rail and metro network for the tournament.

“It will probably be the fastest-growing economy in the world for a sustained period,” said Akber Khan, a director at Al Rayan Investment in Doha. The World Cup “will significantly accelerate massive infrastructure building in Qatar.”

Last month the gas-rich Persian Gulf state was the only candidate country that FIFA inspectors ranked “high” in overall operational risk, since it still needs to build most of its accommodation and facilities. The inspectors also noted that Qatar’s summer temperatures could pose a health risk to players, officials and spectators.

Holder of the world’s third-largest gas reserves, Qatar is using petroleum wealth to transform itself into a sports and cultural capital with plans to invest $100 billion on infrastructure projects in the next four years, Finance Minister Yousef Hussain Kamal said in June.

Building, High Temperatures

The country plans to spend $4 billion on the stadium construction and refurbishment program. Each facility will be designed with a solar-powered air-conditioning system.

The country plans to build a rail and metro network, costing more than $25 billion, in Doha and extending to cities outside the capital. It’s also planning the longest bridge in the world to connect to the nearby island kingdom of Bahrain, and aims to open a new airport next year.

A new 200,000-population city called Lusail, north of the capital, is scheduled to be built over the next decade and will feature the stadium that hosts the World Cup final.

The vote for the two events was marred by FIFA’s suspension of two executive committee members last month following a corruption probe into bids to host the World Cup. Its decision- making body was reduced to 22 members as Nigeria’s Amos Adamu was suspended for three years and fined 10,000 Swiss francs ($10,120) and Tahiti’s Reynald Temarii was banned for a year and fined 5,000 francs after the reporters from the Sunday Times of London reported that the pair were willing to trade votes for cash.